Sunday 27 August 2017

Secrets of Kenyatta-Odinga rivalry in book Kenyans weren’t allowed to read

SUNDAY AUGUST 27 2017

Mr William Attwood( left), the first ambassador to Kenya after independence during the signing of an agreement between the US government and the East African Common Services Organization. Mr Attwood wrote a book on the rivalry between Kenyatta and Odinga but Kenyans were never allowed to read the book. PHOTO | FILE | NATION MEDIA GROUP

Mr William Attwood( left), the first ambassador to Kenya after independence during the signing of an agreement between the US government and the East African Common Services Organization. Mr Attwood wrote a book on the rivalry between Kenyatta and Odinga but Kenyans were never allowed to read the book. PHOTO | FILE | NATION MEDIA GROUP  

By KAMAU NGOTHO
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William Attwood opens with an account of how Mzee Jomo Kenyatta and Jaramogi Oginga first met in the 1950s.

Mr Double-O (as the British called Odinga) was a prosperous businessman from the Lake Victoria area who drifted into politics at the prodding of  Kenyatta. 

He earned Kenyatta’s gratitude, says Attwood, “for lending him money during the struggle for independence and demanding his release from detention.

Later he helped Kenyatta become first, the Prime Minister then President, by working hard for a Kanu victory in the 1963 Independence elections”.

Mr Odinga became a Kenyatta intimate, says Attwood adding:

AMBITION

“But Odinga had ambitions of his own. Just past 50, he saw himself as Kenyatta’s logical successor. At public ceremonies, he took pains to be seen and photographed at Kenyatta’s side, properly conspicuous in his distinctive Chinese-style pajama suit and waving his fly-whisk like Mzee’s understudy.”

Attwood says: “So convincingly did he play the role of No 2 that the Russians and the Chinese, figuring that Kenyatta was becoming senile, decided to make Odinga their main man in Kenya.”

However, writes Attwood, both the Chinese and the Russians made some major miscalculations with respect to Odinga. “Odinga may have been shrewd and crafty, but he was also emotional which, in big-league politics, can be fatal. Also Mr Kenyatta was by no means senile, as they were led to believe. So they put their money on the colourful but erratic leader.”

The support from Russians and the Chinese, reckons Attwood, incited and enabled Odinga to challenge Kenyatta’s leadership, at first indirectly, and finally openly.

DRIVEN-OUT

Attwood says Odinga’s political assets were “his charm and crowd-pleasing platform manner; ample source of funds from the Communist bloc, and fanatic loyalty of the majority Luo.”

Attwood says Kenyatta’s associates wanted Odinga driven out of the government and the ruling party, soon than later before he could build up his own subversive apparatus inside Kanu and the government.

But Kenyatta’s inclination, says Attwood, was to sit back and give Odinga more rope. “He wanted anti-Odinga forces to be brought together into a multi-tribal coalition first; otherwise an open fight with Odinga would look like a Kikuyu-Luo feud. So he preferred to maintain a façade of harmony for the time being.”

Meanwhile, writes Attwood, Odinga kept busy. 

On a visit to Moscow and Peking (now Beijing), he arranged financing of a Nairobi school for Kanu party leaders to be headed by two Russian instructors one of whom was a KGB (the Russian intelligence) agent. 

MILITARY TRAINING

He also arranged for military training in China and Bulgaria for more than a hundred hand-picked “students”. 

He also negotiated an undisclosed clause in the package, reveals Attwood, that Russians would be “donating” weapons to Kenya.

Odinga’s mistake, says Attwood, was to assume Kenyatta had no clue what he was doing behind the curtain. 

He says: “Of course, there was not much Odinga could do without Kenyatta knowing about it. The police and the Intelligence were directly under command of Kenyatta’s office. Their orders were to keep an eye on Double-O.”

TRUST

Attwood discloses: “The first indication I had from Kenyatta that he didn’t trust Jaramogi was when he called me over to discuss outside financing of Kenya’s politicians.”

Before Independence, Kenya’s labour movement had been getting support from western donors and Kenyatta wanted to be assured that had stopped. “I said I’d make inquiries and agreed with him that all aid to independent Kenya should go through the government.”

But Attwood wouldn’t let all blame be heaped on the west: “What about Odinga’s subsidies from the Chinese and Russians?” he asked. “I know about them”, said Kenyatta. “I have already called in their ambassadors and told them to stop.”

Kenyatta then asked if the US could provide the police with some planes to increase mobility in case of an uprising in Odinga’s home base “which is all four hours by road from Nairobi.” 

OPEN SHOWDOWN

Attwood promised to forward the request to Washington. 

Attwood records the first open showdown between Kenyatta and his deputy.

Kenyatta was due to travel to London for a Commonwealth conference.

In his absence, he appointed a minister in his office, Joseph Murumbi, to be acting Prime Minister.

Odinga, who had led his backers and supporters to believe he was No 2 man in the Kenyan hierarchy, was so outraged “he refused to come to the airport to see Kenyatta off — a characteristic display of temper that did him no good.”

NO LONGER AT EASE

Attwood reckons that after that snub, it became common knowledge things were no longer at ease between Kenyatta and his deputy. 

The London’s Sunday Telegraph newspaper reported that Kenyan Intelligence knew that mysterious crates had arrived at the Nairobi Airport aboard a Czech plane, and had been trucked away without customs inspection by one of Odinga’s henchmen. 

The story also told of 40 youths who had returned from training in a communist country and were exempted from immigration checks on Odinga’s instructions.

The newspaper’s Nairobi correspondent was expelled from the country on orders from Odinga’s ally, minister for Information Achieng Oneko.

EXPOSED

Not long after, Attwood records, a Russian freighter docked in Mombasa with a cargo of heavy weapons and tanks destined for Kenya as a “gift” from Moscow. 

Curiously, the Russians demanded that no whites be allowed to inspect the weapons which were to be turned over to “Africans only”. 

The Russians were given 24 hours to get out of Kenya with all their cargo.

Attwood says the Chinese equally exposed Odinga to his rivals by throwing a party and inviting every Kenyan they had contact with either directly or through Odinga. 

MADE FUN

Kenyan Intelligence took particulars of the invited guests and began a surveillance on them.

Kenyatta advisers, says Attwood, wanted the Chinese embassy immediately ordered closed, but “Kenyatta sensibly preferred to keep the Chinese above ground where they could be watched.”

When the Chinese put a high stone perimeter wall around their embassy, Kenyatta only made fun of them at a private meeting with Attwood.

He told him: “Now we have Nairobi’s newest tourist attraction. We have the Great Wall of China here in Africa. Our police will have to use helicopters to see what those people are doing behind it.”

FRUSTRATED

Attwood reckons that by now, Odinga was increasingly getting frustrated, and being provoked into losing his temper by deliberate slights. 

When President Kaunda of Zambia arrived for a visit, the Vice-President wasn’t asked to accompany Kenyatta to the airport to receive the state guest. 

At a UN Day celebrations, President Kenyatta delegated a cabinet minister to read his speech on his behalf. 

When the minister rose to read the speech, he declined to acknowledge the presence of Vice-President Odinga who was seated next to him. 

And when the Vice-President was hosted for dinner by East German national known to him, the following day the foreigner was ordered out of the country.

KNOCK-OUT

Attwood writes: “You couldn’t help but feel sorry for Odinga. Badly advised, sensitive to pin pricks, pressed by Oriental sponsors, shadowed by the police, he was reported to have started drinking heavily and smoking bhang — a kind of African marijuana.”

Attwood says at that point he invited the Vice-President for lunch at his residence. 

A carload of Intelligence officers followed him to the residence “and so we had seven extra-mouths to feed”, says Attwood.

“Odinga, stiff at first, unbent as the lunch progressed. He asked me why there were no more US funded projects in his area. I said we had many teachers in Nyanza and would be glad to look at any other worthwhile projects. But since he had recently called us dangerous imperialists, did he really want more Americans around?”

Odinga replied: “It’s just that my people are worried that you’d come with guns as you do in Vietnam. And also you Americans, you think all Luos are communists.”

Then Odinga leaned closer, framing his face in his hands: “Look at me, do you see communism in my face?”

“No Jaramogi”, I said unbuttoning my jacket. “And do you see any hidden guns in me?”

Attwood says the political knock-out punch landed on Odinga by surprise. Kanu national elections would be held within two weeks from the day of announcement.

SURPRISE

He writes: “Surprise was essential; Odinga had the money to buy votes if given time. As it was, he tried hard.”

Odinga’s slush fund for the election, reveals Attwood, was estimated to be more than $150,000, much of it in green dollars provided by the Chinese embassy in Dar es Salaam and converted to shillings in Mombasa.”

Without explanation, six Chinese and Russian diplomats and a couple of “journalists” posted to Nairobi from the communist bloc countries were ordered out of the country.

The resolutions and election results at the hurriedly convened Kanu conference were predictable.

TRAP

Delegates overwhelmingly approved Kanu’s new constitution where Odinga’s post of deputy party Vice-President was abolished and replaced with eight vice- presidents from across the country.

Odinga didn’t wait for the conference to end. “He walked out in a rage and into Kenyatta’s trap”, says Attwood. 

A few days later, Odinga resigned as Vice- President and quit Kanu to form the opposition Kenya People’s Union. 

He remained in political opposition until his death in 1994.

SUMMARY

Attwood summarises the story of the elder Kenyatta/Odinga fallout with recollections of a private meeting with Kenyatta. 

He writes: “I went out to Gatundu one weekend not long after Odinga resigned. Kenyatta and I sat and drank coffee and talked of Kenya’s future in the living room.”

“I am not bitter about Odinga”, Kenyatta told me. “I like Odinga. When I first met him, he was a successful businessman. Then I persuaded him to come into politics. That was a mistake. He doesn’t understand politics.”

Kenyatta smiled and rubbed his chin: “Now I think he should go back and be a businessman again. That would be good for him and good for Kenya.”

kamngotho@yahoo.com

Sign this Petition to Take Raila to The Hague


     Last month Raila Odinga made it clear that he would not accept the election results. Once he lost, he again made it clear that he would not accept the verdict of the Supreme Court. Now he is telling Kenyans to prepare for a bloodbath.

     History has taught us that we can only ignore him at our own peril.

     Before we continue, we would like to inform you that we are a group of nonpartisan Kenyans of all ages and genders who have come together at this dangerous hour in our country to SWEAR BEFORE GOD AND MAN that this time it will be different. In the last elections, Kenyans from all corners of the country stood in unison and delivered a thunderous verdict about our collective future as Kenyans.

     All observers, both local and regional and continental and international, agreed that Kenyans spoke with one voice. Only Raila and a few of his advisers disagreed. Having stood for presidency four times and lost, it was his last chance. And he is determined to take our beloved country down to his grave with him.

     If you are reading this, we implore upon you to stand up and join us to declare NEVER AGAIN! Be one of the people who will drive this petition to break international records. Our target is 10 million petitioners.

     Let us remind you where Raila is coming from. Raila first appeared in national focus in January 1983 when his 11 cases, which included treason and murder and rape, started at the High Court. We won’t go into details since you can find a copy of the same publicly at the High Court archives.

     Unlike what his disciples would have us believe, Raila was not imprisoned as a political prisoner. He was imprisoned as a common criminal for his role in the 1982 coup that killed thousands of Kenyans. His co-accused were Otieno Makonyango and Hezekiah Ochuka. He was following on the footsteps of his role models who include Charles Taylor, Mobutu Sese Seko, Idi Amin and Jean Bedel Bokassa.

     Raila only ascended to high office in Kenya on the back of thousands of Kenyan corpses and 650,000 displaced men, women and children. Last year, George Aladwa, now the Makadara MP, teamed up with Raila at a rally in Kibera and informed the country that blood must flow in Kenya for Raila to become president. And you all know that Raila’s principal adviser, David Ndii, has announced that since Raila cannot become president through the ballot, they are going to use bullets to install Raila Odinga on the Kenyan people by force.

     All this is in the public domain. Kenyans have been listening and taking notes.

     In the last two years, we have collected more than 400 audial and visual clips so far showing Raila and his accomplices inciting their supporters towards ethnic cleansing, murder, genocide, general massacre, forceful uprooting of populations, economic sabotage and general mayhem (among others). We have catalogued thousands of reports (both from newspapers, magazines, periodicals, meetings, etc) of the same.

     Dear Kenyan, there is a sinister plot afoot. The drums of war are gathering. The snakes are slithering into the open. We are living in the most dangerous period of our country’s history. Raila is preparing for his final solution.

     In less than a week’s time, the verdict of the Supreme Court will be out. If you value the life and the future of your children, the time to act is NOW!

     We have written to the UN, IGAD, AU, EAC, the Carter Centre, the State Department of the US, and the International Criminal Court at The Hague. We have volunteered to share our evidence. The AU and IGAD have agreed to share the elections report with us; which we shall submit as evidence at the ICC should Raila carry out his murderous mission. We are waiting for the others to respond.

     The whole world is watching. The old man from Bondo is finally exposed. Play your part and sign this petition to take this warlord to the International Criminal Court (ICC). Also included is his accomplice David Ndii.

     Let us stand up against this evil tide and declare NEVER AGAIN shall our country hide its face in shame every five years. We are not lower animals. We are proud citizens of the world and we will fight to secure our exalted place in the community of nations.

     To believe that the whole country owes you a living is the true mindset of a megalomaniac. To make a vow of taking 45 million people down with you in your vengeful sunset years is to display an unbelievable degree of narcissism. Kenyans spoke on 8/8 and they will speak yet again. We will not be cowed this time round. Kenya is our country.

     Dear Kenyan, an ominously dark cloud is gathering over our beloved land. The elements are moving into place, waiting for a deathly explosion.

     But our resolve will not be shaken. Kenya will not be buried in the grave of Raila Amolo Odinga. We shall not let a single child of our beloved country, including Luo children, to be slaughtered on the satanic altar of one demented old man. Let this voice of resistance reverberate from Namanga to Moyale, and from Lamu to Busia – NEVER, NEVER, AGAIN!!

     Lastly, please support our efforts by donating to us. Even five shillings will go a long way towards paying lawyers who are collating our data and assembling evidence, the advertisers who are making this petition circulate around Kenya and the ICT boys who work tirelessly to keep this website live and kicking. You can donate by going to your Lipa na Mpesa, select Buy Good and Services, Enter Till Number 537685, and then your donation amount. You will receive a message from Mpesa showing that you paid Rizzan team.

     Join us and sign the petition below.

     Also, please click the Facebook share button below to share on your wall and implore upon your friends to get this message around Kenya.

     The time is now. NEVER AGAIN!!

If you love Kenya, Walk with us!

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Friday 25 August 2017

Secession debate points to deep-seated divisions

THURSDAY AUGUST 24 2017

Voters queue to cast their ballot at Ziwa la Ng’ombe voters queue on the Mombasa-Malindi road at Bombolulu on the August 8 elections. PHOTO | KEVIN ODIT \ NATION MEDIA GROUP 

By Macharia Gaitho

National Super Alliance strategy and policy chief David Ndii has stirred the hornet’s nest with a series of controversial statements that have raised questions about the real intentions of opposition chief Raila Odinga in contesting President Kenyatta’s election victory.

First, the economist and Saturday Nationcolumnist retweeted an Online petition advocating secession for a large swathe of Kenya that did not support extension of Jubilee Party rule.

Then the same night, Tuesday, in an NTVinterview with talk show host Larry Madowo, Dr Ndii amplified the secession call, and also asserted that even after having challenged the presidential election outcome in the Supreme Court, Nasa would still resort to calls for ‘mass action’ even if streets protests led to violence and bloodshed.

That was not new from Dr Ndii as he had in a Saturday Nation column in March last year declared Kenya a “a cruel marriage” and said it’s time to talk divorce.

His latest comments generated an uproar that Dr Ndii would probably have expected. 

JUBILEE SUPPORTERS

The provocative posts drew widespread condemnation from Jubilee supporters as robust social media exchanges peaked on Facebook and Twitter, as well as closed chat groups such as WhatsApp and Telegram. 

Jubilee supporters generally took the view that Dr Ndii was advocating anarchy and bloodshed, some proposing that he be arrested and charged with treason. 

Many also concurred that Dr Ndii was simply exposing Mr Odinga’s ultimate game plan: to lead a violent insurrection aimed at regime change if he loses at the Supreme Court.

The furore, however, also brought out the very real schisms in Kenyan society. As much as Jubilee supporters were outraged, there were an equal number of Nasa supporters on the other side fully behind secession calls or mass action.

Their general feeling was that the electoral system in Kenya was rigged to ensure perpetual rule for an alliance of two major ethnic groups that had monopolised leadership and the economy since independence.

SUPREME COURT

Many also felt that the Supreme Court cannot really be expected to deliver ‘justice’ in a system where the Executive holds all the cards and is not shy to use the coercive power of the State machinery.

Dr Ndii, who on his Twitter profile describes himself as a ‘public intellectual’, probably got just the reaction he had set out to provoke. 

While most of the comments simply reflect the Jubilee-Nasa political divide, what the debate brings out is a much deeper issue that goes to the heart of Kenya’s existence as unitary nation state. 

Beyond Jubilee versus Nasa or the age-old Kenyatta versus Odinga dynastic feuds lie serious unresolved issues that define politics competition in Kenya.

While David Ndii provoked the outrage and generated the sound bites that had him trending on Twitter, it must have been lost in all the frenzied arguments that he was raising issues of legitimate political discourse.

MANIFESTOES

Both the Jubilee and Nasa manifestoes make pledges towards realisation of cohesion, reconciliation, national unity, and peace; a fair share for all regions and population groups; fair distribution of development resources; special attention for marginalised and disadvantaged groups and regions; equal access to employment, education and health services; and fair representation of all groups in leadership and government. 

These are issues that are also ventilated in the 10-point Nation Agenda issues by the Nation Media Group ahead of the election campaigns.

A reading of the two manifestoes reveals that Jubilee and Nasa are actually in accord on diagnosing the unresolved issues that must be fixed to make a truly united Kenya. 

Where they differ is on the prescription, and that is where the ideological gulf emerges. 

The Jubilee approach emphasises economic growth, infrastructural development and rapid expansion of health, education and other social services. It gives only fleeting mention to righting past wrongs. 

GDP GROWTH

Nasa, by contrast, rejects ‘trickle-down’ economics and obsession with GDP growth, focussing on redress for historical injustices and addressing old ethnic grievances through implementation of the Truth, Justice and Reconciliation Commission Report; land reform; and shifting of development resources to neglected regions.

At a simplistic level, Jubilee offers a forward looking model that prefers not to re-open old wounds, as put by Deputy President William Ruto in rejecting implementation of the TJRC report.

Nasa see’s the old wounds as still open and in need of stitching and dressing lest they continue festering.

These may be issues dwelling in the respective economic and social policies and development paths drawn up by the rival political groups, but they also define the political divides that make electioneering in Kenya such a time-bomb.

Reactions to Dr Ndii’s comments invariably recalled that Kenya was yet to heal from the bloodletting that followed the disputed 2007 elections. 

Many were quick to recall Mr Odinga’s role as presidential candidate for the then Cord coalition that disputed President Mwai Kibaki’s victory.

PLOTTING VIOLENCE

In the run-up to the 2017 elections, Jubilee consistently accused Mr Odinga of plotting violence in case he lost. It was in such an environment that Mr Odinga’s decision to go to the Supreme Court, rather than to the streets, was seen as major development. What is shaping up now, however, is a scenario where Nasa might be anticipating defeat in court, and preparing to pursue mass action.

Dr Ndii may have intellectualised the issue, but he spoke on NTV after Mr Odinga had the same day publicly declared that the election petition was just one part of a wider national campaign against what he termed a culture of electoral fraud.

Speaking in Mombasa, he said that seven Supreme Court judges cannot override the votes of a majority of Kenyans, asserting that the solution would lie in ‘People Power’.

Mr Odinga, who claims he was cheated of victory in three successive presidential elections, is typically cagey on what mass action or people power would entail, or the ultimate goal.

For many in Kenya, mass action brings back memories of the 2007-2008 post-election violence. 

CHANGE

However, Dr Ndii points out that no change in Kenya, whether it was the struggle for independence, the struggle against one-party dictatorship, or the struggle for a new constitution, has been achieved peacefully.

He also rejects the notion that mass action must of necessity be violent, countering that it is the police who unleash violence in turning their guns and on legitimate and lawful protests.

What is not clear, however, is what mass action is intended to achieve. 

It might be difficult to make the case for protests aimed at forcefully ejecting President Kenya and installing Mr Odinga in State House, especially when the latter cannot conclusively demonstrate that he was the rightful winner of the elections.

If the main complaint is that the electoral playing field is tilted to the advantage of a dominant ethnic grouping or coalition, then mass action would be intended to force though constitutional amendments for a more just and inclusive leadership structure and electoral system.

That would not lead to an immediate change in leadership. It also might need to be viewed against the fact that the Nasa masses will not necessarily out-number the Jubilee masses. 

Sunday 20 August 2017

Jostling for CS and plum State jobs in top gear


SUNDAY AUGUST 20 2017There is serious lobbying in the National

There is serious lobbying in the National Assembly and Senate for the available leadership roles. PHOTO | NATION MEDIA GROUP 

By JUSTUS WANGA
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Even though the threat of his victory being overturned by the Supreme Court perilously hangs over his head, President Uhuru Kenyatta has silently embarked on crafting a team ready for a second term in office.

Together with Deputy President William Ruto, they have held numerous consultative meetings between themselves and with their advisors since the electoral commission announced the Jubilee candidate as the winner 11 days ago. 

Mr Ruto is keen to have a mark on the Cabinet considering the political deal that he will succeed Mr Kenyatta in 2022.

As a result of the consultations, the Nation has learnt that there are indications at least half of the current Cabinet Secretaries will be sent packing in the event the highest court in the land validates Mr Kenyatta’s win.

Mr Raila Odinga, the National Super Alliance (Nasa) presidential candidate in the just concluded polls, on Friday evening filed an election petition alleging massive irregularities in the polls held almost a fortnight ago.

Influential individuals are also eyeing positions in both Houses of Parliament. 

SPEAKER

One surprise name being mentioned is that of former Bungoma Governor Ken Lusaka.

He is Public Policy and Administration expert and it will be a rare case of someone with no legal training taking up the position — just as first Senate Speaker Ekwe Ethuro.

Mr Lusaka who lost to Ford-Kenya’s Wycliffe Wangamati has in the last few days launched what appears to be a subtle job search in the government, writing newspaper opinion articles where he appears keen to take credit for Jubilee’s inroads in the larger western region in the August 8 elections.

On Thursday, he urged his supporters not to worry since he would be back with a bang.

“I know I’m down but not out. With God’s timing everything is possible. I am optimistic of securing another job very soon and all my supporters will be happy with it,” he said.

Former Budalang’i MP Ababu Namwamba’s name also features prominently as a possible House speaker.

OPPOSITION WAVE

There are also indications that a Justice and Constitutional Affairs Ministry is also likely to be formed to accommodate one of the big names.

Whichever way it goes, the duo is poised for plum jobs as reward for standing with Jubilee in the face of a sweeping opposition wave in western.

Like the former county chief, Mr Namwamba, a lawyer, also became a casualty of Nasa’s juggernaut.

Those familiar with the talks in the corridors of power hold that only a handful of the ministers will retain their positions and some of those who are lucky will be moved to new dockets as Mr Kenyatta moves to reward loyalty and also have his team reflect the new political landscape – while also keenly aware of Mr Ruto’s interests tied to 2022.

Other than rewarding loyalty, Elgeyo-Marakwet Senator Kipchumba Murkomen, a close ally of Mr Ruto, gave a hint into what will guide the appointments.

CEMENTING LEGACY

“Most importantly, the President will be seeking to unite the country. Expect an inclusive government in every sense of it. Similarly, it is about cementing a legacy for the President and as such, he will be assembling a team guided by competencies,” he said.

The Treasury CS Henry Rotich, his Energy counterpart Charles Keter and Mr James Macharia of Transport are some the few who sources say stand a good chance to survive the purge. 

Foreign Affairs boss Amina Mohamed too is not in a precarious position like many of her colleagues.

And after serving as the President’s chief agent in the elections, talk of former Energy Cabinet Secretary Davis Chirchir returning to the fold after being hounded out of office on graft allegations are also rife.

In Central, Mr Macharia and Devolution minister Mwangi Kiunjuri are said to be in a strong position to retain their seats.

Though a silent mobiliser, Mr Macharia is said to have played a key role in getting voters in his Murang’a backyard to support Mr Kenyatta to a man.

The infrastructure projects rolled out by the President across the country could also come in handy for the CS.

CABINET SECRETARIES

Kikuyu MP Kimani Ichung’wa asked the current crop of Cabinet Secretaries and senior government officials “whose performance has not been excellent” to allow the President the leeway to appoint others.

“Performance and delivery will be the guiding points. Anyone who has performed well should have no reason to worry,” the lawmaker, who has been re-elected unopposed, said.

In the new equation that is taking shape, acting Interior CS Fred Matiang’i is tipped to be confirmed to the position, forcing the President to scout for his replacement in the Education ministry where he has initiated a myriad reforms and is in the process of rolling out a new curriculum. 

But should the President change his mind since the final list is yet to be constituted, retired Chief of the Defence Forces Julius Karangi is another option on the table to lead the Interior ministry.

State House spokesman Manoah Esipisu had promised to consult with his boss before commenting on this article, but had not done so by the time of going to press.

DEPUTY SPEAKER

The sensitivity of such a topic would ordinarily make it hard for him to comment.

We also gathered that the President does not want to appear as making the Supreme Court case inconsequential by confirming that he nonetheless is forming a government.

Other than Mr Lusaka and Mr Namwamba, the search is also on for a female legislator to replace Bomet Governor Joyce Laboso Murang’a as the deputy speaker.

Murang’a Woman Representative Sabina Chege has been mentioned as a possible choice.

Meanwhile, in the Senate the loser in the Kisii Governor race Chris Obure alongside former chairman of the defunct Commission for the Implementation of the Constitution Charles Nyachae have also been mentioned as possible candidates for Speaker to replace Mr Ethuro. The former Speaker could be assigned another role, including a diplomatic posting.

Nakuru and Kiambu senators Susan Kihika and Kimani Wamatangi respectively are seen as likely candidates for deputy senate speaker’s slot.

UPPER HAND

If she offers her candidature, Ms Kihika appears to have an upper hand on gender consideration. But Mr Wamatangi touts his experience in the last Senate in his lobbying for the position. Sunday Nation has also learnt that a section of the newly-elected senators from the larger Mt Kenya region has backed his bid, arguing that the position was held by one of their own (former Murang’a Senator Kembi Gitura) in the last Senate and ought to be retained there.

The MP, the only one to be re-elected in the Central region, is a strong defender of Jubilee administration in and outside the Senate and is most likely to win support of colleagues from the opposition he worked with in the last Parliament. 

Barring any drastic change of heart, the two majority leaders in Parliament Aden Duale (National Assembly) and Kithure Kindiki (Senate) will keep their jobs.

The move by the public service commission to invite applications from those who want to be considered for principal secretary (PS) slots is said to be in line with the ongoing effort to form the government.

As expected, the development has triggered unprecedented lobbying from those in the Cabinet who are keen to preserve their positions as well as outsiders keen to catch Mr Kenyatta’s eye.

Axing of the incumbent CSs and PSs is meant to create room for some high profile politicians who were key in the Jubilee victory in areas hitherto seen as opposition bastions where Mr Kenyatta harvested a good chunk of votes but lost in the respective seats they were gunning for.

RUTO AMBITION

The move by Mr Odinga to move to the court has done little to discourage the canvassing with some exuding confidence that the case will disintegrate.

An overriding factor for Mr Ruto is his 2022 presidential ambition. It is understood that the general agreement between him and the President is to settle on a line-up that will enable him inherit the seat with minimal resistance.

This is however not going to be easy as the opposition regroups for another round of battle.

Interviews with various sources at the heart of power show that Gusiiland, Luhyaland and Coast will be some of the biggest beneficiaries of Mr Kenyatta’s second term in office. 

It is part of the strategy to wrest control of these regions from the opposition’s stranglehold ahead of the next General Election.

Talk is also rife that Mr Kenyatta could reach out to some of the losers in Nasa and give them Cabinet slots. 

Former Nairobi Governor Evans Kidero’s name keeps cropping up. Were he to be picked, Jubilee would be plotting a takeover of the Luo Nyanza through Dr Kidero, a difficult task should Mr Odinga choose to stick around. 

PROMOTION

But not even three other Nasa principals – Mr Kalonzo Musyoka, Musalia Mudavadi and Moses Wetang’ula – appear off limits in the appointment plans.

The powerful Interior PS Karanja Kibicho is also among those earmarked for promotion.

With Chief of Staff and Head of public service Joseph Kinyua set to retire, the bureaucrat is emerging as a favourite in what could be a reward for his role in the President’s re-election. 

Other than being instrumental in Mr Kenyatta’s crackdown on illicit brews in central Kenya, Mr Kibicho has been at the fulcrum of the campaigns.

And with the line-up taking shape, and like is always a tradition, the National Intelligence Service (NIS) has been unleashed on the possible nominees to conduct background checks. 

The aim is to avoid those candidates with glaring issues that may impede their ascension to office during vetting. They also seek to ascertain loyalty of such individuals to the system.